The Fixed Basket
The Fixed Basket · Stratum food_at_home

Food at home

Groceries: 22 single-SKU items from BLS APU (milk, eggs, ground beef, beef steak, bacon, pork chops, whole chicken, white bread, whole-wheat bread, flour, rice, bananas, oranges, lemons, potatoes, tomatoes, lettuce, cheddar, ice cream, sugar, coffee, frozen orange juice). Each priced as a fixed SKU, Carli-averaged, no CPI.

Weight (National Average)
11.31%
Sources
22
precedence-ordered ladder
Archetypes published
10
Basket version
v1.0.14

Sources

Precedence ladder for food at home. Lower precedence wins where multiple sources cover the same period. The engine walks the ladder per period with chain-link rescale at source transitions.

PrecedenceSourceSeries IDCadenceGeography
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000709112 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000708111 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000703112 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000706111 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000702111 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000711211 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000712112 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000715211 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000717311 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000701312 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000711311 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000712311 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000710212 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000701111 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000702212 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000FC3101 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000704111 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000704211 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000710411 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000711412 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000712211 monthly national
0 BLS Average Price Data (APU) APU0000713111 monthly national

Weight across archetypes

How food at home is weighted in each of the 10 published archetypes. Sorted by weight, highest first. National Average is the headline citation surface.

ArchetypeWeightAction
Retiree 13.5397% View archetype →
Income — Second Quintile 12.8882% View archetype →
Working Parent 12.1785% View archetype →
Income — Middle Quintile 12.1413% View archetype →
Income — Fourth Quintile 11.7795% View archetype →
Homeowner 11.5885% View archetype →
National Average 11.3105% View archetype →
Income — Lowest Quintile 11.1432% View archetype →
Renter 10.6428% View archetype →
Income — Highest Quintile 10.5549% View archetype →

Substitution history

Substitution log entries that touched this stratum. Each entry bumps the basket version and is reproducible from observations tagged with their basket_version.

2026-06-07 — Deeper food-at-home sampling: 13 → 22 BLS APU items

Version: data tag 1.0.12 → 1.0.13

What changed. The food_at_home stratum's single-SKU set grew from 13 to 22 BLS Average Price items. Added (each verified against the BLS API for continuous 2000-01→present coverage): flour, whole-wheat bread, beef steaks, bacon, pork chops, ice cream, lemons, iceberg lettuce, and frozen orange juice. The stratum's basket weight is unchanged — this is a within-stratum deepening, not a stratum add/remove, so the archetype weights still sum to 1.0 with no renormalization.

Why. The original 13 thinly sampled protein (only ground chuck, whole chicken, eggs) and carried no pork and no non-ground beef cut, so the Carli average under-represented meat — a high-inflation group. The new mix spreads across grains, beef, pork, dairy, produce, and juice without letting any group dominate (meat and produce each ≈27% of SKUs). Still 100% BLS APU observed average prices — no BLS CPI. APU carries no processed/prepared-food SKUs, so the set necessarily skews toward staples/produce/meat — a disclosed limit, not a fixable skew.

Effect on headline. food_at_home's long-run rate rises 2.47 → 2.72%/yr (correcting the thin protein sample); the National Average headline moves +0.018pp, 3.540 → 3.559%/yr, index 246.36 → 247.50. Surviving rows were re-stamped basket_version 1.0.12 → 1.0.13 (values unchanged); the 9 new SKU series were ingested at 1.0.13. Strata count stays 15.

Methodology

See the basket page for all 20 strata and the per-stratum source map. The methodology page covers the load-bearing pillars including the rules around source-precedence ladders, chain-link splicing at source transitions, and the no-fabricated-data invariant.